Malaysian Economic Indicators: Leading, Coincident & Lagging Indexes

Overview

Highlights

The Leading Index (LI) which monitors the economic performance in advance registered a growth of 0.9% in May 2016. The LI move up to 116.4 points from 115.4 points in April 2016. This was driven by the increase in Real Money Supply, M1 (0.5%), Real Imports of Other Basic Precious & Other Non-ferrous Metal (0.4%) and Number of New Companies Registered (0.2%). The annual change of LI remained negative but indicated an improvement in May 2016.

The Coincident Index (CI) which measures the current economic activity, decreased slightly 0.2% in May 2016. Two components that contributed to the decrease were Volume Index of Retail Trade (-0.3%) and Real Salaries & Wages in Manufacturing Sector (-0.2%). However, the annual change of CI grew to 1.5% as against 1.2% in the previous month.

The annual change of LI and CI showed an improvement in May 2016. Concurrently, the Diffusion Index for LI above 50.0% while CI was below 50.0%. This implies that the Malaysia’s economy will continue expanding at a slower rate in the months ahead.

 

(The complete indicators on Leading, Coincident and Lagging Indexes are shown in the following Table 4  ).

Released By:

THE OFFICE OF CHIEF STATISTICIAN MALAYSIA
DEPARTMENT OF STATISTICS, MALAYSIA
22 July 2016

Contact person:

Ho Mei Kei
Public Relation Officer
Corporate and User Services Division
Department of Statistics, Malaysia
Tel : +603-8885 7942
Fax : +603-8888 9248
Email : mkho[at]stats.gov.my

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