Malaysian Economic Indicators: Leading, Coincident & Lagging Indexes

Overview

Highlights

The Leading Index (LI) which monitors the economic performance in advance dropped in February 2015. The LI posted a decrease of 1.4% to 117.9 points as compared to 119.6 points in January 2015. This was due to the decreases recorded in Number of Housing Units Approved (-0.7%), Real Imports of Other Basic Precious & Other Non-ferrous Metal (-0.6%) and Number of New Companies Registered (-0.5%). The annual change of LI slowed to 0.9% as compared to 2.3% recorded in the previous month.

The Coincident Index (CI) which measures the current economic activity, declined slightly by 0.2% in February 2015. Capacity Utilisation in Manufacturing Sector (-0.6%) and Volume Index of Retail Trade (-0.5%) were the components that accounted to the decrease. The annual change of CI decreased slightly to 2.5% from 2.8% recorded in January 2015.

The annual change of LI and CI registered a lower growth as compared to the previous month. The level of Diffusion Index for LI reached 42.9% in February 2015. Taken together the current behavior of the composite indexes, this indicates that the Malaysian economy will continue to expand at a slower rate in the months ahead.

(The complete indicators on Leading, Coincident and Lagging Indexes are shown in the following Table 4  ).

  

Released By:

THE OFFICE OF CHIEF STATISTICIAN MALAYSIA
DEPARTMENT OF STATISTICS, MALAYSIA
24 April 2015

Contact person:

Norrita binti Amran
Public Relation Officer
Corporate and User Services Division
Department of Statistics, Malaysia
Tel : +603-8885 7942
Fax : +603-8888 9248
Email : norrita.amran@stats.gov.my

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