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Malaysia's economic growth moderates with the Leading Index
recording a marginal negative of 0.2 per cent in June 2025
The annual growth rate of the Leading Index (LI) recorded a marginal decline of 0.2 per cent in June 2025, recording 113.4 points as compared to 113.6 points in the same month of the previous year. The decline reflected weaknesses in four out of seven components, with the most notable drop seen in the Real Imports of Other Basic Precious & Other Non-Ferrous Metals (-27.4%). On a month-on-month basis, the LI also declined by 0.5 per cent, affected by decreases in both import components, namely the Real Imports of Other Basic Precious & Other Non-Ferrous Metals (-1.0%) and the Real Imports of Semi Conductors (-0.5%).
Examining the smoothed long-term trend in June 2025, the LI remained below 100.0 points, anticipating to an easing economic momentum. The outlook is supported by a strong domestic foundation but weighed down by external challenges.
Meanwhile, the Coincident Index (CI) reflecting current economic performance grew by 1.7 per cent to 128.2 points in June 2025 as compared to 126.1 points in the same month of the previous year. This increase was driven by improvements across all components with the Real Contributions, Employees Provident Fund (EPF) recording the highest rise of 6.1 per cent. On a monthly basis, the CI rose 0.4 per cent, aided by the Industrial Production Index (IPI), which advanced by 0.3 per cent.
The Diffusion Index for LI slowed to 57.1 per cent in the reference month, declined from 71.4 per cent in the previous month. Meanwhile, the Diffusion Index for CI showed an increase to 83.3 per cent as compared to 66.7 per cent in the previous month.
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