Malaysian Economic Indicators: Leading, Coincident & Lagging Indexes

Overview

Highlights

The Leading Index (LI) which monitors the economic performance in advance showed an increase of 0.9% to 118.6 points in July 2015, compared with 117.6 points in the previous month. Two components that recorded the highest percentage increase were Expected Sales Value in Manufacturing sector (0.8%) and Real Imports of Semi Conductors (0.3%). The annual change of LI grew at a slower pace of 0.3% in the reference month as against 0.8% in June 2015. 

The Coincident Index (CI) which measures the current economic activity, declined 1.2% in July 2015. Capacity Utilisation in Manufacturing sector (-0.5%) is one of the components that significantly attributed to the decrease. The annual change of CI grew at 0.4%, lower than 1.4% in the previous month.

The annual change of LI and CI recorded a slower growth as compared to the preceding month. The Diffusion Index for LI showed an improvement even though it remains below 50.0%. Based on this scenario, the Malaysian economy is expected to continue growing at a slower rate in the months ahead.

 (The complete indicators on Leading, Coincident and Lagging Indexes are shown in the following Table 4  ).

  

Released By:

THE OFFICE OF CHIEF STATISTICIAN MALAYSIA
DEPARTMENT OF STATISTICS, MALAYSIA
23 September 2015

Contact person:

Norrita binti Amran
Public Relation Officer
Corporate and User Services Division
Department of Statistics, Malaysia
Tel : +603-8885 7942
Fax : +603-8888 9248
Email : norrita.amran@stats.gov.my

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